Paul Vs. Diaz Odds, Specials, Prop Bets And More!

After suffering the first loss of his professional boxing career to rival Tommy Fury (watch it), social media star Jake Paul returns to hunting aging Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) veterans when he battles Nate Diaz this Saturday (Aug. 5, 2023) on DAZN pay-per-view (PPV).

It’s a matchup designed to draw eyes, and where there’s public interest, there’s betting opportunities. Let’s see what the lads at DraftKings have for us this time …

Moneyline

• Jake Paul -390
• Nate Diaz +280

Alternative Total Rounds

• Over 5.5 −245
• Under 5.5 +175
• Over 6.5 −165
• Under 6.5 +120
• Over 8.5 +110
• Under 8.5 −150

Fight Outcome

• Jake Paul by Decision or Technical Decision +350
• Jake Paul by KO/TKO/DQ −150
• Draw +1200
• Nate Diaz by Decision or Technical Decision +750
• Nate Diaz by KO/TKO/DQ +550

Alternate Fight Outcome

• Jake Paul to Win by KO +240
• Jake Paul to Win by TKO +125
• Jake Paul to Win by Disqualification +3500
• Jake Paul to Win by Unanimous Decision +500
• Jake Paul to Win by Split Decision +1200
• Jake Paul to Win by Majority Decision +2200
• Nate Diaz to Win by KO +1600
• Nate Diaz to Win by TKO +700
• Nate Diaz to Win by Disqualification +6500
• Nate Diaz to Win by Unanimous Decision +1100
• Nate Diaz to Win by Split Decision +2200
• Nate Diaz to Win by Majority Decision +4000

Fight To End In First 60 Seconds of Round 1

• Yes +10000

Photo by CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images

Moneyline / Total Knockdowns

• Jake Paul to Win and Over 1.5 Knockdowns +200
• Jake Paul to Win and Under 1.5 Knockdowns −110
• Nate Diaz to Win and Over 1.5 Knockdowns +800
• Nate Diaz to Win and Under 1.5 Knockdowns +475

Both Fighters to Be Knocked Down

• Yes +400
• No −750

Either Fighter to Be Knocked Down

• Yes −380
• No +250

Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down

• Yes +280
• No −425

Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down

• Yes −245
• No +175

To Be Knocked Down and Win

• Jake Paul +700
• Nate Diaz +1800

Total Knockdowns

• Over 1.5 +140
• Under 1.5 −195

Knockdown Round Betting

• Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down in Round 1 +3000
• Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-3 +1000
• Jake Paul to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-6 +300
• Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down in Round 1 +1200
• Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-3 +300
• Nate Diaz to Be Knocked Down in Rounds 1-6 −165

Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Round Betting

• Jake Paul to Win In Round 1 +2200
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 2 +1600
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 3 +1400
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 4 +1200
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 5 +1000
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 6 +1000
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 7 +1000
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 8 +1200
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 9 +1400
• Jake Paul to Win In Round 10 +1600
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 1 +10000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 2 +8000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 3 +6500
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 4 +5000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 5 +4000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 6 +4000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 7 +4000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 8 +4000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 9 +5000
• Nate Diaz to Win In Round 10 +6500

Alternate Round Betting

• Jake Paul to Win In 1-5 Rounds +260
• Jake Paul to Win In 6-10 Rounds +210
• Nate Diaz to Win In 1-5 Rounds +1400
• Nate Diaz to Win In 6-10 Rounds +1000

Round Group Betting

• Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 1-2 +900
• Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 3-4 +650
• Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 5-6 +500
• Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 7-8 +550
• Jake Paul To Win In Rounds 9-10 +750
• Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 1-2 +4000
• Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 3-4 +3000
• Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 5-6 +2200
• Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 7-8 +2200
• Nate Diaz To Win In Rounds 9-10 +3000

When Will The Fight End

• To Go the Distance +165
• Round 6 +800
• Round 7 +800
• Round 5 +800
• Round 4 +900
• Round 8 +1000
• Round 3 +1100
• Round 9 +1100
• Round 10 +1200
• Round 2 +1400
• Round 1 +2000

Either Alternate Round Betting

• Fight to Be Won in Rounds 6-10 +150
• Fight to Be Won in Rounds 1-5 +210

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Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

Thoughts: Jake Paul is going to win this fight. Diaz is 38 years old, competing 30 pounds above his ideal fighting weight, and does not seem to care about this fight whatsoever. Paul straight-up at better than -400 is a steal.

Besides that, I’d wager on the fight going past the sixth round. Diaz is incredibly difficult to stop through any means other than cuts and swelling, which are a more remote possibility than in the cage due to the larger gloves. I’d be willing to go in on Paul by decision at +350 — Diaz usually only gets stopped via cuts or swelling, which shouldn’t be as much of an issue with the big gloves.

Really, I just don’t see either man engaging enough to produce a finish unless Diaz completely phones in his preparation and comes out so slow and flat-footed that Paul can tee off for a mercy stoppage. In short, bank on this being severely underwhelming.

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