UFC Fight Night 204 predictions: Tom Aspinall or Alexander Volkov in London?

MMA News

UFC Fight Night 204 predictions: Tom Aspinall or Alexander Volkov in London?

Volkov
vs.
Aspinall
Allen
vs.
Hooker
Pimblett
vs.
Vargas
Nelson
vs.
Sato
Carolina
vs.
McCann
Herbert
vs.
Topuria
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
41-19
Aspinall
(72%)
allen2022
Allen
(64%)
pimblett2022
Pimblett
(91%)
nelson2022
Nelson
(84%)
mccann2022
McCann
(70%)
topuria2020
Topuria
(92%)
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
41-19
trophy copy 2018 Champion
volkov2022
Volkov
hooker2022
Hooker
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
carolina2022
Carolina
topuria2020
Topuria
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
39-21
Aspinall hooker2022
Hooker
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
carolina2022
Carolina
topuria2020
Topuria
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
39-21
Aspinall allen2022
Allen
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
mccann2022
McCann
topuria2020
Topuria
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohnMMA
38-22
trophy copy 2014 Champion
Aspinall allen2022
Allen
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
mccann2022
McCann
topuria2020
Topuria
Nolan King
@mma_kings
37-23
volkov2022
Volkov
hooker2022
Hooker
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
mccann2022
McCann
topuria2020
Topuria
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
37-23
Aspinall allen2022
Allen
pimblett2022
Pimblett
sato2022
Sato
mccann2022
McCann
topuria2020
Topuria
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
36-24
Aspinall allen2022
Allen
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
carolina2022
Carolina
topuria2020
Topuria
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
36-24
Aspinall allen2022
Allen
pimblett2022
Pimblett
sato2022
Sato
carolina2022
Carolina
topuria2020
Topuria
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
35-25
trophy copy 2017 Champion
volkov2022
Volkov
hooker2022
Hooker
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
carolina2022
Carolina
topuria2020
Topuria
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
33-27
Aspinall allen2022
Allen
pimblett2022
Pimblett
nelson2022
Nelson
mccann2022
McCann
topuria2020
Topuria
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
28-32
volkov2022
Volkov
hooker2022
Hooker
vargas2022
Vargas
sato2022
Sato
carolina2022
Carolina
herbert2022
Herbert

The UFC makes its long-awaited return to London this week with a heavyweight bout at the top of the card.

UFC Fight Night 204 takes place Saturday at O2 Arena in London. The card streams on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, Alexander Volkov (34-9 MMA, 8-3 UFC) takes on Tom Aspinall (11-2 MMA, 4-0 UFC) at heavyweight. Aspinall is a slight -135 favorite at Tipico; the comeback on Volkov is +105. Our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers have Aspinall in close voting at 7-4.

In the co-feature, Arnold Allen (17-1 MMA, 8-0 UFC) will look to stay unbeaten in the UFC against Dan Hooker (21-11 MMA, 11-7 UFC) at featherweight. Allen is a slight -125 favorite and has the smallest possible edge in the picks at 6-5.

Also on the main card, rising home-country fan favorite Paddy Pimblett (17-3 MMA, 1-0 UFC) meets Kazula Vargas (12-4 MMA, 1-2 UFC) at lightweight. Pimblett is a -650 favorite and a near-unanimous pick at 10-1.

Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1 MMA, 8-5 UFC) returns from a lengthy layoff to take on short-notice replacement opponent Takashi Sato (16-4 MMA, 2-2 UFC) at welterweight. Nelson is a -550 favorite and a big 8-3 leader in the picks.

Luana Carolina (8-2 MMA, 3-1 UFC) takes on Molly McCann (11-4 MMA, 4-3 UFC) in a women’s flyweight bout. McCann is a slight -145 favorite, but it’s Carolina who has a 6-5 edge in the picks.

And to open the main card, Ilia Topuria (11-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC) is a 6-1 favorite at lightweight against Jai Herbert (11-3 MMA, 1-2 UFC). Topuria is our second near-unanimous pick at 10-1.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Aspinall (72 percent), Allen (64 percent), Pimblett (91 percent), Nelson (84 percent), McCann (70 percent) and Topuria (92 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

UFC Fight Night 204 predictions: Tom Aspinall or Alexander Volkov in London?